Political Analysis and Election Forecasting

GOP released proposed party platform; Democrats divided on Biden's second term; Biden's age a concern for voters; SCOTUS decisions and Trump's future discussed; 538 forecast for 2024 election; Dissatisfaction among voters worldwide; AI policy roadmap unveiled; 538 election model favors Biden; Swing-state polls show mixed results; Forecast updates daily; Electoral College predictions and voter power index analyzed

2024 Presidential Election Polling

Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in six swing states, Emerson College polling found. Biden managed to tie Trump in Minnesota, a state that has voted for the Democrat nominee since 1976. Trump's lead in swing state polling remains mostly unchanged post-conviction.