The concept of 'probability of doom' (p(doom)) is gaining popularity in Silicon Valley as a measure of the risk of artificial intelligence causing human extinction or other catastrophic events. Tech insiders have varying estimates, with some optimistic and others deeply concerned. Governance and policies play a crucial role in AI's potential risks.
Key Points
Tech insiders use 'probability of doom' (p(doom)) to assess the risk of AI causing catastrophic events
Estimates range from near zero to over 90 percent, highlighting differing perspectives on AI's impact
The importance of governance and policy in managing AI risks is emphasized
Pros
Raises awareness about the potential risks of artificial intelligence
Encourages discussions on governance and policy measures to mitigate risks
Cons
May lead to unnecessary fear and anxiety among the general public