2024 Swing State Polls: Trump vs. Biden
Recent polls by Bloomberg/Morning Consult show Donald Trump leading in swing states in a two-way and five-way race. Trump has gained ground in some states since last month. Biden's numbers remain below 44% in most states. Trump is ahead in Nevada by 8 points, a state Republicans haven't won since 2004. The election is Trump's to lose if he can avoid making it about himself.
Key Points
- Trump at or near 50% in five states
- Biden stuck between 41-43% in six states
- Trump ahead in Nevada by 8 points
Pros
- Trump leading in swing states
- Consistent polling results across different pollsters
- Trump gaining ground in some states
Cons
- Biden's numbers remain below 44%
- Risk of Trump losing if he makes the election about himself