The S&P 500 is on track for a 10% gain in the first quarter, leaving investors cautious about potential pullbacks. Historical data suggests that strong first quarters often lead to continued rallies in the second quarter, but may result in bumps and volatility along the way.
Key Points
Strong first-quarter performance often leads to continued rallies in the second quarter
Bumps and volatility may be expected along the way
Historical data shows strong full-year gains following top first-quarter advances
Pros
S&P 500 is on track for a 10% gain in the first quarter
Strong first quarters historically lead to positive second-quarter performances
Historical data suggests potential for strong full-year gains
Cons
Potential for market pullbacks and increased volatility after strong first quarters
Past instances have seen significant declines following initial rallies