Allan Lichtman's 13 'Keys' to the White House

SOURCE www.theguardian.com
Allan Lichtman, a history professor, has accurately predicted the results of nine out of the past ten US presidential elections using his 13 'keys' to the White House method. The method is based on a series of true/false questions that determine the outcome based on factors such as the state of the economy, social unrest, scandals, and charisma of candidates.

Key Points

  • Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the results of nine out of the past ten US presidential elections
  • His method is based on 13 true/false questions that determine the outcome
  • Factors considered include party mandate, economic conditions, social unrest, scandals, and candidate charisma

Pros

  • Accurate method for predicting US presidential election results
  • Based on historical patterns and key indicators

Cons

  • Not immune to unexpected 'black swan' events