Dr. Allan Lichtman's analysis of President Biden's re-election chances in light of Trump's conviction

SOURCE www.foxnews.com
Dr. Allan Lichtman, a historian at American University, discusses keys to predicting U.S. presidential elections and evaluates President Biden's chances of re-election in 2024, considering the impact of former President Trump's criminal conviction.

Key Points

  • Lichtman's 'Keys to the White House' consist of 13 true or false questions that predict election outcomes
  • Trump's criminal conviction may not have fundamentally cracked his base, which could impact the 2024 election
  • Biden has lost two key 'keys' in Lichtman's analysis, affecting his chances of re-election

Pros

  • Dr. Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of nine of the last 10 U.S. presidential elections
  • Lichtman's 'Keys to the White House' provide a unique and successful method for predicting election outcomes
  • Lichtman's analysis focuses on historical data and trends rather than personal preferences or instant punditry

Cons

  • The 2024 election outcome is still uncertain and subject to various factors
  • Biden has lost two of Lichtman's 'keys', raising concerns about his re-election prospects