The extreme volatility event in the stock market may not have been as it seemed, with some experts questioning the accuracy of the VIX fear gauge. Technical factors such as lack of liquidity and misfired volatility bets could have contributed to the spike. Market sentiment may be better reflected by VIX futures rather than the VIX itself.
Key Points
VIX spike questioned for accuracy in reflecting market sentiment
Technical factors like lack of liquidity and misfired volatility bets may have influenced the spike
VIX futures could be a better measure of hedging demand
Pros
VIX futures may provide a more accurate reflection of market sentiment
Investors can gain insights by analyzing actual trades rather than market quotes
Cons
A disconnect between the VIX and its futures can lead to confusion in interpreting market conditions