Ukrainian Offensive on Kursk Oblast
Ukrainian forces launch a successful offensive on the Kursk oblast, catching Russians off guard and making significant gains. The goal is to alter Russian calculus, boost morale, draw Russian forces away, exchange prisoners, and tilt negotiation power in Ukraine's favor. The ultimate objective is to make the war unpopular in Russia and topple Putin.
Key Points
- Successful all-arms offensive by Ukrainian forces
- Strategic goals include altering Russian calculus, boosting morale, and drawing away Russian forces
- Ultimate objective is to make the war unpopular in Russia and topple Putin
Pros
- Successful offensive leading to significant gains for Ukraine
- Catch Russians off guard and make strategic advancements
- Boost morale among Ukrainians and allies
- Create potential for negotiation power and prisoner exchanges
Cons
- Potential for increased Russian retaliation and escalation
- Risk of further casualties and displacements
- Uncertainty about long-term impact on the region