2024 U.S. Presidential Election

SOURCE www.mediaite.com
Recent polls suggest Vice President Kamala Harris is leading or tied with former President Donald Trump in every major swing state, with a noteworthy lead in Pennsylvania. This shift in polling comes as the campaign enters its final stretch.

Key Points

  • Harris leads by 2 points in Georgia and North Carolina, 3 points in Michigan, 4 points in Nevada and Pennsylvania, 8 points in Wisconsin, and tied in Arizona
  • Pennsylvania considered a tipping-point state with significant Electoral College importance
  • Nate Silver's electoral forecast model gives Trump a 52.4% chance of reclaiming the White House

Pros

  • Vice President Kamala Harris leading or tied with former President Donald Trump in major swing states
  • Particularly noteworthy lead in Pennsylvania, a key state in the Electoral College

Cons

  • Model shifts to favor Trump for the first time since August 3
  • Recent data implies Harris may be a slight underdog in November