The One Big Beautiful Bill passed by the House is projected to increase household resources, with the top decile gaining the most and the bottom decile seeing a decline due to reduced eligibility for Medicaid and food stamp benefits.
Key Points
Federal taxes and cash transfers would increase household resources by $3.1 trillion
Reductions in in-kind benefits would lower resources by $1 trillion
State governments expected to respond by cutting taxes or redirecting spending
Pros
Average household income projected to rise over 2026-2034 period
Top decile households gain approximately $12,000 per year
Middle-income households also see gains ranging from $500 to $1,000 annually
Cons
Bottom income decile expected to see a net decline in resources
Reductions in Medicaid and food stamp benefits contribute to losses for the bottom decile