Arizona Senate Race Rating Change
Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics moved its rating of the Arizona Senate race from “toss-up” to “leans Democratic” due to a state Supreme Court ruling reinstating a 19th-century abortion ban. Rep. Ruben Gallego is the likely Democratic nominee with strong fundraising, while former GOP gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake is expected to be the Republican candidate. The race will be crucial in determining Senate control next year, with Democrats currently having a slight favorite to win.