Disney Layoffs and Closure of 538

Disney has laid off about 200 employees in two major divisions due to declining ratings and revenue. The closure of 538, a data-driven site by Nate Silver, reflects a shift in public opinion. The entertainment job cuts are a result of people moving from cable to streaming services. The article also discusses the rise of new media outlets and the impact on traditional media companies.

ABC News Shutting Down FiveThirtyEight

ABC News is shutting down FiveThirtyEight as part of sweeping layoffs to cut 6 percent of its workforce. The decision marks a significant shift for the network's future election coverage.

2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Recent polls suggest Vice President Kamala Harris is leading or tied with former President Donald Trump in every major swing state, with a noteworthy lead in Pennsylvania. This shift in polling comes as the campaign enters its final stretch.

Megyn Kelly comments on Donald Trump's interview with Elon Musk

Megyn Kelly criticized Donald Trump's rambling interview with Elon Musk, attributing it to Trump's advanced age. Nate Silver suggested that Trump's mental state should be investigated. Kelly and Silver both questioned Trump's ability to stay on message and compared his current communication style to his 2016 campaign.

Nate Silver's Election Prediction Update

Nate Silver updates election prediction to 'toss-up' after saying Trump was favored. Harris has a good chance of winning in key states. Democrats lucky to have Harris instead of Biden as nominee.

Doubts about Kamala Harris's Election Chances

A video published by James O’Keefe shows a DNC compliance manager expressing doubts about Vice President Kamala Harris's chances of winning the election this year. The manager also acknowledges Harris's lack of accomplishments and susceptibility to attacks. Statistician Nate Silver's model predicts a likely victory for former President Donald Trump over Harris. The video also reveals the manager's approach to securing donations for the DNC.

2024 Election Model and Possible Running Mates for Vice President Kamala Harris

Statistician Nate Silver releases election model showing Vice President Kamala Harris as a slight favorite over Donald Trump in the popular vote but a modest underdog in the Electoral College. Harris is in a better position than President Biden was when he was the incumbent challenger. Potential running mates for Harris are being discussed.

2024 U.S. Presidential Election Forecast

Statistical model predicts former President Donald Trump is heavily favored to win the election over Vice President Kamala Harris, despite her slight lead in the popular vote. Trump has a 61.3% chance of winning compared to Harris's 38.1% chance.

Concerns about President Biden's Cognitive Decline and Risk of Losing Democratic Nomination

CNN's Carl Bernstein reports close allies of President Biden are concerned about his cognitive decline. Polling expert Nate Silver suggests Biden's debate performance puts him at risk of not being the Democratic nominee in November. Silver predicts Trump likely wins in a showdown with Biden.

2024 U.S. Presidential Election Forecast

Nate Silver's election model forecasted that former President Trump leads President Joe Biden by six points in the probability of winning the popular vote in November. This is the first time the model predicted Trump would defeat Biden with the popular vote. Trump also has a 68.4% probability of winning the electoral college.

Forecast on Presidential Election by Nate Silver

Nate Silver's forecast model predicts Trump has a higher chance of winning the electoral college compared to Biden, although Biden is slightly favored to win the popular vote. Silver suggests Biden may need to consider stepping aside if his polling numbers do not improve.

Nate Silver's Critique of President Biden's Campaign

Nate Silver, a prominent election handicapper, suggests that President Biden should reassure the public of his capability to run a campaign or step aside for a new candidate before the August nominating convention to avoid losing to Trump. Silver criticizes Biden for avoiding media appearances and calls for him to address concerns about his age. He recommends Biden do lengthy interviews with non-friendly sources to prove critics wrong.

Calls for President Biden to Reassure Voters or Step Aside

Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight, suggests President Biden reassure voters of his capabilities or step aside ahead of the August nominating convention. Concerns about Biden's age and ability to run a normal reelection campaign are raised. Ezra Klein also argues for Democrats to pick a new candidate at the party convention.